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"WEATHER BY GIANNETTA"

Bath, Pa. USA.


Charles A. Giannetta

Meteorologist - Professor

Bath, Pa.

"N O T E" - " N O T E"

This article is used on my web site with the permission of The Morning Call Inc., Allentown, Pa.


"The Morning Call Inc., Copyright 2002"

Date: Thursday, September 16, 1999

AREA BRACED FOR FLOYD'S FURY * WEATHERMEN WARN STORM COULD SOCK IT TO VALLEY. BUT OFFICIALS SAY THEY'RE READY.

By JEFF GELMAN, The Morning Call Staff writers Chris Parker, Lisa Kozleski, Katie Wang and Tom Davis and the Associated Press contributed to this report.

Throw on your raincoat and hold onto your hat because Hurricane Floyd is tearing up the coast to whip the Lehigh Valley today. Area schools, utilities and emergency services are preparing for what is now one of the worst storms of the century. Already, Wednesday's driving rain caused numerous car accidents due to slick roads. At least one school district said that should the storm turn too furious, too fast today, it is prepared to keep its students until roads are clear.

All this mayhem and the area is only expected to feel the outer fury of the hurricane. Forecasters are predicting for today winds between 25 and 35 mph, with gusts up to 50 mph. Rains that started Wednesday will have dumped between 5 and 9 or more inches of water by early Friday, when the storm is expected to fizzle, according to the National Weather Service late Wednesday. Floyd was down to a Category 3 hurricane, with winds of 115 mph, as of Wednesday evening and probably will weaken to tropical storm status by the time its center reaches just west of Atlantic City, N.J., about 2 a.m. Friday. "It's been gradually weakening all day," said NWS meteorologist Al Cope said Wednesday.

The worst of the weather should appear this afternoon and evening, Cope said. "Friday may actually turn out to be a fairly decent day," said National Weather Service meteorologist Joe Miketta. On Wednesday, a flash-flood watch and high-wind advisory were issued for eastern Pennsylvania. "Floods are the number one hazard in the commonwealth and we're second to Alaska when it comes to miles of running water," said Marko Bourne, spokesman for the Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency. "With enough rain, we have a lot of unnamed creeks and streams that have the potential for flash floods."

Retired National Weather Service meteorologist Charles Giannetta of Bath advised those residents living near streams or small creeks to keep an eye on them. Ten inches of rain can turn a babbling brook into a roaring monster," he said. "The water comes up awful quick. If I lived near a creek, I wouldn't sleep tonight." If the Valley drinks in 12 inches of rain, that would more than overcome Lehigh County's water deficit, which is 6.9 inches for the year through August.

But rainfall is only one of five measures Gov. Tom Ridge must examine before he decides to lift the drought conditions. Emergency officials are urging residents to use common sense in the wake of possible heavy winds and flash floods. "Our advice is to know what to do to be prepared," said Carla Hickey, spokeswoman for the Lehigh Valley chapter of the Red Cross. She said the office has been deluged with phone calls from concerned residents. Red Cross volunteers are ready to set up emergency shelters, she said. PP&L has asked utility companies in western Pennsylvania, Ohio and New York for assistance in case of massive power outages for the approximate 250,000 customers in the Lehigh Valley region, said spokesman Jim Burns.

"Everyone has indicated they will help," he said. "We're prepared to deal with whatever comes our way." Workers for the Pennsylvania Department of Transportation spent much of Wednesday checking drainage inlets and removing debris so water can more easily flow off the roads. Safety spokesman Ronald J. Young said one of the most vulnerable roads in the region is River Road, which runs the length of Bucks County into Northampton County. "Because it's tree-lined and exposed to the Delaware River ... it's especially susceptible to flooding," he said.

Young advised motorists to take extra time driving in the extreme weather, check windshield wipers before leaving, allow extra space between other vehicles on the road and drive with headlights on. Curt Fauerbach, operations officer for Northampton County Emergency Management Agency, said his office is most concerned about flooding. "In general, our operation would move people out of the flood-prone areas and provide shelters." Carbon County acting Emergency Management Coordinator Carl Merluzzi said he doesn't anticipate any major flooding because rivers are low due to the drought. "But there could be some flash flooding on roads near streams." Merluzzi is keeping a close eye on the Mahoning Creek near Route 443 in Mahoning Township, and the Lizard Creek along Route 895 in East Penn Township.

"Those are the ones that usually flood over," he said. "The (communication) center sent out a flash flood watch and local police will be on alert." In Schuylkill County, Emergency Management Operations and Training Officer Michael Cadau said his crew is monitoring weather reports to track the storm. "We have contingency plans in place," he said. "This is a pretty big storm, so we are monitoring rain gauges throughout the county and looking at past trouble spots to figure which creeks and streams are liable to flood." Many area school districts on Wednesday were taking a wait-and-see approach to the storm.

"I'm not hearing anything that leads me to believe we couldn't have school (Thursday) unless we get local flooding that gets really bad and I'm not anticipating that," said Parkland School District Superintendent Gary McCartney. Children in the Pennridge School District in Bucks County were sent home Wednesday afternoon with notes warning there might be early dismissal today should Floyd live up to his reputation. It's happened once before, when we had a phone call from police saying roads were flooding and we should dismiss school if we want to get the youngsters home," said Superintendent Robert S. Kish.

Kish said if the weather turns too tumultuous too quickly, preventing a safe return home by bus, the district is prepared to keep the children at school until the roads are safe. Bernadette Meck, superintendent of the Easton Area School District, said she plans to "treat the day like a snow day." "We're prepared for just about anything," said Jim Scanlon, superintendent of the Quakertown Community School District. "We've spent part of the day working with principals and staff to review their weather preparedness emergency plans." Scanlon said he plans to monitor weather reports throughout the day and stay in touch with other Upper Bucks superintendents in case any cooperative efforts are needed to ensure the safety of students.

Superintendents in the Palmerton, Lehighton, Panther Valley, Jim Thorpe, Weatherly and Tamaqua school districts and the Carbon County Vocational-Technical School were watching the weather and waiting Wednesday afternoon before deciding whether to close schools.

"We're keeping up with weather reports and taking a wait-and-see stance right now," said Lehighton Superintendent Robert Klucharich. "We're keeping our fingers crossed."




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